Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Sat 21 Feb 2026
England flag England : Premier League
Manchester CityWLDLW
21:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 21 Feb
NewcastleLLWLL
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 1.52
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Manchester CityWLDLW
04 Nov 26ARB Leipzig3 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HBrighton0 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26HBrighton2 - 2League Cup
24 Oct 26AAston Villa1 - 2Premier League
20 Oct 26HAEK Athens FC5 - 1UEFA Champions League
NewcastleLLWLL
02 Nov 26HEverton0 - 1Premier League
29 Oct 26AEverton1 - 3League Cup
25 Oct 26ACrystal Palace2 - 0Premier League
17 Oct 26HAston Villa0 - 1Premier League
12 Oct 26ACoventry1 - 4Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Manchester City vs Newcastle →

Our prediction

Manchester City to win

@ 1.52
Double chance
1X  •  Manchester City or Draw
@ 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.57
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Manchester Citylast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
22/4055%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.87Manchester City
2.92Total
1.05Newcastle

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Manchester City win 9% @ 8.25 Our pick
2 – 0 Manchester City win 8% @ 9.25
1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 9.75
1 – 0 Manchester City win 7% @ 10.50
3 – 1 Manchester City win 7% @ 11.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Manchester City72%
Draw16%
Newcastle12%

Odds (1X2)

11.52
X4.80
25.25

Manchester City vs Newcastle preview

Manchester City host Newcastle in the Premier League (England) on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Manchester City a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Newcastle 12%. That makes our pick Manchester City to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.52. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Manchester City or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.16.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.9 for Manchester City, 1.1 for Newcastle). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Manchester City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-W), scoring 11 and conceding 8. Newcastle have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 9. In the table, Manchester City are 3rd with 21 points and Newcastle are 12th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Manchester City vs Newcastle?

Our prediction is Manchester City to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.52. Win chances: Manchester City 72%, draw 16%, Newcastle 12%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Newcastle?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Manchester City vs Newcastle?

Manchester City vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Manchester City vs Newcastle?

The double chance 1X (Manchester City or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.16. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Manchester City3rd21 pts
Newcastle12th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Arsenal 10901 1027
2 Brighton 10712 1922
3 Manchester City 10703 821
4 Liverpool 10532 418
5 Chelsea 10514 316
6 Everton 10442 216
7 Bournemouth 10433 215
8 Brentford 10352 514
9 Leeds 10352 214
10 Aston Villa 10343 -313
11 Tottenham 10334 -112
12 Newcastle 10334 -312
13 Hull City 10253 011
14 Ipswich 10325 -511
15 Fulham 10244 -210
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 -49
17 Coventry 10307 -99
18 Manchester United 10154 -58
19 Sunderland 10226 -98
20 Crystal Palace 10217 -147