Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo Prediction

Serie A · Sun 17 May 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Atletico ParanaenseWLDLL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
FlamengoWDWWW
Kick-offSun 17 May, 23:30
Our tip2 @ 2.22 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico ParanaenseWLDLL
04 Nov 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 3Serie A
30 Oct 26AGremio0 - 2Serie A
24 Oct 26AVitoria1 - 1Serie A
17 Oct 26HPalmeiras0 - 2Serie A
12 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc4 - 1Serie A
FlamengoWDWWW
04 Nov 26HGremio3 - 1Serie A
29 Oct 26AVasco DA Gama4 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26HAtletico-MG3 - 2Serie A
23 Oct 26HEstudiantes L.P.0 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26ABahia3 - 0Serie A

Head to head

Atletico Paranaense 14 · Draws 11 · Flamengo 16 (41 meetings, last 10 below)

17 May 26Atletico Paranaense1 - 1FlamengoSerie A
29 Sep 24Flamengo1 - 0Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
16 Jun 24Atletico Paranaense1 - 1FlamengoSerie A
14 Sep 23Flamengo0 - 3Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
13 Jul 23Atletico Paranaense0 - 2FlamengoCopa Do Brasil
06 Jul 23Flamengo2 - 1Atletico ParanaenseCopa Do Brasil
07 May 23Atletico Paranaense2 - 1FlamengoSerie A
29 Oct 22Flamengo1 - 0Atletico ParanaenseCONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Aug 22Atletico Paranaense0 - 1FlamengoCopa Do Brasil
14 Aug 22Flamengo5 - 0Atletico ParanaenseSerie A

Full head to head: Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo →

Our prediction

Flamengo to win

@ 2.22
Double chance
12  •  Atletico Paranaense or Flamengo
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico Paranaenselast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Flamengolast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 48%Under 2.5: 52%
Expected goals
0.80Atletico Paranaense
2.59Total
1.79Flamengo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 1 Flamengo win 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Atletico Paranaense win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Flamengo win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50
0 – 3 Flamengo win 4% @ 17.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico Paranaense34%
Draw18%
Flamengo48%

Odds (1X2)

13.20
X3.30
22.22

Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo preview and result

Atletico Paranaense and Flamengo met in the Serie A on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico Paranaense a 34% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Flamengo 48%. Our pick was Flamengo to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.22. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico Paranaense or Flamengo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (0.8 for Atletico Paranaense, 1.8 for Flamengo). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico Paranaense have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Flamengo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-W), scoring 13 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 14, Flamengo won 16 and 11 ended level. In the table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th with 54 points and Flamengo are 1st with 76 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Our pre-match prediction is Flamengo to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.22. Win chances: Atletico Paranaense 34%, draw 18%, Flamengo 48%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).

What time is Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo (Serie A) was played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

The double chance 12 (Atletico Paranaense or Flamengo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Atletico Paranaense5th54 pts
Flamengo1st76 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521