Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Sat 16 May 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
FluminenseLWLWW
23:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 16 May
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offSat 16 May, 23:00
Our tip1 @ 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FluminenseLWLWW
06 Nov 26AVitoria3 - 0Serie A
28 Oct 26HInternacional2 - 1Serie A
24 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc1 - 2Serie A
22 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26HSantos1 - 2Serie A
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Fluminense to win

@ 1.90
Double chance
1X  •  Fluminense or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Fluminenselast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.56Fluminense
2.73Total
1.17Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Fluminense win 11% @ 5.75
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
2 – 1 Fluminense win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Fluminense win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Fluminense73%
Draw17%
Sao Paulo10%

Odds (1X2)

11.90
X3.40
24.00

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo preview

Fluminense host Sao Paulo in the Serie A (Brazil) on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Fluminense a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sao Paulo 10%. That makes our pick Fluminense to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.90. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Fluminense or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.6 for Fluminense, 1.2 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the table, Fluminense are 4th with 57 points and Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Our prediction is Fluminense to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.90. Win chances: Fluminense 73%, draw 17%, Sao Paulo 10%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 1X (Fluminense or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Fluminense4th57 pts
Sao Paulo10th44 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521