Bahia vs Gremio Prediction

Serie A · Sun 17 May 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
BahiaLWLDW
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
GremioLWWWL
Kick-offSun 17 May, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 1.81 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
BahiaLWLDW
29 Oct 26HSao Paulo3 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26ASantos1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HFlamengo0 - 3Serie A
11 Oct 26HMirassol1 - 0Serie A
09 Oct 26APalmeiras0 - 1Serie A
GremioLWWWL
04 Nov 26AFlamengo1 - 3Serie A
01 Nov 26HAtletico-MG2 - 0Copa Do Brasil
30 Oct 26HAtletico Paranaense2 - 0Serie A
26 Oct 26ACoritiba1 - 0Serie A
18 Oct 26HCruzeiro2 - 4Serie A

Head to head

Bahia 8 · Draws 9 · Gremio 14 (31 meetings, last 10 below)

17 May 26Bahia1 - 1GremioSerie A
19 Oct 25Bahia4 - 0GremioSerie A
25 May 25Gremio1 - 0BahiaSerie A
17 Aug 24Gremio0 - 2BahiaSerie A
28 Apr 24Bahia1 - 0GremioSerie A
04 Nov 23Gremio1 - 0BahiaSerie A
12 Jul 23Gremio1 - 1BahiaCopa Do Brasil
05 Jul 23Bahia1 - 1GremioCopa Do Brasil
01 Jul 23Bahia1 - 2GremioSerie A
16 Oct 22Gremio1 - 1BahiaSerie B

Full head to head: Bahia vs Gremio →

Our prediction

Bahia to win

@ 1.81
Double chance
1X  •  Bahia or Draw
@ 1.20
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.95
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Bahialast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Gremiolast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
2.10Bahia
2.41Total
0.31Gremio

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Bahia win 10% @ 6.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.00 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Bahia win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Bahia win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Bahia69%
Draw18%
Gremio13%

Odds (1X2)

11.81
X3.55
24.20

Bahia vs Gremio preview and result

Bahia and Gremio met in the Serie A on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Bahia a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gremio 13%. Our pick was Bahia to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.81. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Bahia or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (2.1 for Bahia, 0.3 for Gremio). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Gremio have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 7. In their last 10 meetings, Bahia won 8, Gremio won 14 and 9 ended level. In the table, Bahia are 6th with 53 points and Gremio are 18th with 37 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Bahia vs Gremio?

Our pre-match prediction is Bahia to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.81. Win chances: Bahia 69%, draw 18%, Gremio 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bahia vs Gremio?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Bahia vs Gremio?

Bahia vs Gremio (Serie A) was played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Bahia vs Gremio?

The double chance 1X (Bahia or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Bahia6th53 pts
Gremio18th37 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521