Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
Bayern MünchenDWWDW
6 - 1
Full time · HT 3 - 0
RB LeipzigLWWWL
Kick-offSat 17 Oct, 17:30
Our tip1 @ 1.22 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

L. DiazAssist: J. Kimmich⚽12'
A. PavlovicAssist: L. Diaz⚽26'
M. OliseAssist: H. Kane⚽34'
L. DiazAssist: H. Kane⚽47'
Konrad Laimer51'
H. KaneAssist: N. Brown⚽53'
L. DiazAssist: M. Olise⚽69'
90'⚽A. MaksimovicAssist: B. Gruda

Match stats

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
62%Possession38%
3.40Expected goals (xG)0.84
29Shots12
17Shots on target4
11Corners3
15Fouls6
4Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
3Saves11
90%Pass accuracy81%
Line-ups
Bayern München4-2-3-1
  1. 40J. UrbigG
  2. 27K. LaimerD
  3. 2D. UpamecanoD
  4. 3Kim Min-JaeD
  5. 11N. BrownD
  6. 6J. KimmichM
  7. 45A. PavlovicM
  8. 17M. OliseM
  9. 34I. SaibariM
  10. 14L. DiazM
  11. 9H. KaneF

Coach: Vincent Kompany

RB Leipzig4-5-1
  1. 26M. VandevoordtG
  2. 16L. KlostermannD
  3. 4W. OrbanD
  4. 23C. LukebaD
  5. 22D. RaumD
  6. 10B. GrudaM
  7. 20R. ReitzM
  8. 21N. El AynaouiM
  9. 6E. BanzuziM
  10. 7A. NusaM
  11. 28C. NkunkuF

Coach: Martin Demichelis

Referee: T. Stieler · Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Bayern MünchenDWWDW
03 Nov 26AAtletico Madrid2 - 0UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HBorussia Dortmund2 - 2Bundesliga
28 Oct 26H1. FC Magdeburg6 - 1DFB Pokal
25 Oct 26ASC Freiburg3 - 1Bundesliga
21 Oct 26HArsenal2 - 2UEFA Champions League
RB LeipzigLWWWL
04 Nov 26HManchester City2 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26AFC Schalke 042 - 0Bundesliga
27 Oct 26ARot-Weiß Essen2 - 1DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HSV Elversberg4 - 0Bundesliga
21 Oct 26AReal Madrid1 - 4UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Full head to head: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig →

Our prediction

Bayern München to win

@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.36
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Bayern Münchenlast 20 tipped matches
15/2075%
Our tips on RB Leipziglast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
20/3656%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 76%Under 2.5: 24%
Expected goals
2.08Bayern München
4.00Total
1.92RB Leipzig

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Bayern München win 7% @ 10.00 Our pick
3 – 1 Bayern München win 7% @ 10.00
4 – 1 Bayern München win 6% @ 11.00
3 – 0 Bayern München win 6% @ 12.00
2 – 0 Bayern München win 5% @ 13.00

Final score: 6 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Bayern München63%
Draw19%
RB Leipzig18%

Odds (1X2)

11.22
X7.00
29.50

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig preview and result

Bayern München and RB Leipzig met in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 6 - 1, 3 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Bayern München a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and RB Leipzig 18%. Our pick was Bayern München to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.22. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 4.0 goals (2.1 for Bayern München, 1.9 for RB Leipzig). The chance of three or more goals is 76%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Bayern München have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-D-W), scoring 15 and conceding 6. RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 11 and conceding 8. In the table, Bayern München are 1st with 21 points and RB Leipzig are 4th with 18 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our pre-match prediction is Bayern München to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.22. Win chances: Bayern München 63%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 18%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 76%).

What time is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) was played on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

Bayern München1st21 pts
RB Leipzig4th18 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134