FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
FSV Mainz 05
Kick-offSat 17 Oct, 14:30
Our tip2 @ 2.25 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Goals & cards

24'⚽P. TietzAssist: A. Caci
42'Nadiem Amiri
45'Kaishu Sano

Match stats

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
47%Possession53%
0.43Expected goals (xG)1.94
9Shots10
3Shots on target6
4Corners1
12Fouls20
3Offsides7
0Yellow cards2
5Saves3
66%Pass accuracy73%
Line-ups
FC Schalke 043-4-2-1
  1. 1L. KariusG
  2. 5T. BeckerD
  3. 25N. KaticD
  4. 4H. KurucayD
  5. 17A. GantenbeinM
  6. 23S. El-FaouziM
  7. 13S. TanakaM
  8. 8R. GosensM
  9. 19K. KaramanF
  10. 24A. AouchicheF
  11. 10E. DzekoF

Coach: Miron Muslic

FSV Mainz 053-5-2
  1. 1A. SchwolowG
  2. 21D. da CostaD
  3. 4S. PoschD
  4. 48K. PotulskiD
  5. 19A. CaciM
  6. 10N. AmiriM
  7. 6K. SanoM
  8. 7Lee Jae-SungM
  9. 2P. MweneM
  10. 23S. BeckerF
  11. 9P. TietzF

Coach: Urs Fischer

Referee: R. Hempel · Venue: Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 →

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05 to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  FC Schalke 04 or FSV Mainz 05
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.53
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
20/3656%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 64%Under 2.5: 36%
Expected goals
0.79FC Schalke 04
3.30Total
2.51FSV Mainz 05

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 2 FSV Mainz 05 win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
2 – 1 FC Schalke 04 win 6% @ 10.00
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 10.00
0 – 1 FSV Mainz 05 win 6% @ 10.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FC Schalke 0441%
Draw17%
FSV Mainz 0542%

Odds (1X2)

13.00
X3.40
22.25

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 preview and result

FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 met in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives FC Schalke 04 a 41% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FSV Mainz 05 42%. Our pick was FSV Mainz 05 to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FC Schalke 04 or FSV Mainz 05) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (0.8 for FC Schalke 04, 2.5 for FSV Mainz 05). The chance of three or more goals is 64%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

In the table, FC Schalke 04 are 17th with 6 points and FSV Mainz 05 are 12th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our pre-match prediction is FSV Mainz 05 to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: FC Schalke 04 41%, draw 17%, FSV Mainz 05 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 64%).

What time is FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) was played on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

The double chance 12 (FC Schalke 04 or FSV Mainz 05) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

FC Schalke 0417th6 pts
FSV Mainz 0512th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134