Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
Hamburger SVWWLLL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
VfB StuttgartDLWWL
Kick-offSat 17 Oct, 14:30
Our tip2 @ 1.75 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Goals & cards

Warmed Omari54'
Nicolás Capaldo82'
Otto Stange85'
M. MuheimAssist: Z. El Ouahdi⚽88'

Match stats

Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
34%Possession66%
1.50Expected goals (xG)2.28
14Shots24
3Shots on target5
5Corners9
12Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
5Saves2
77%Pass accuracy92%
Line-ups
Hamburger SV3-5-2
  1. 1D. Heuer FernandesG
  2. 24N. CapaldoD
  3. 33S. BornauwD
  4. 17W. OmariD
  5. 3D. WolfeM
  6. 5M. AdelineM
  7. 4B. NadirM
  8. 28M. MuheimM
  9. 37L. LemkeM
  10. 20F. VieiraF
  11. 15Y. PoulsenF

Coach: Merlin Polzin

VfB Stuttgart4-2-3-1
  1. 41D. SeimenG
  2. 4J. VagnomanD
  3. 29F. JeltschD
  4. 24J. ChabotD
  5. 3R. HendriksD
  6. 16A. KarazorM
  7. 6A. StillerM
  8. 11B. El KhannoussM
  9. 26D. UndavM
  10. 18J. LewelingM
  11. 9E. DemirovicF

Coach: Sebastian Hoeness

Referee: R. Hartmann · Venue: Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Hamburger SVWWLLL
01 Nov 26AEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3Bundesliga
27 Oct 26HEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26ASC Paderborn 070 - 1Bundesliga
17 Oct 26HVfB Stuttgart1 - 0Bundesliga
10 Oct 26A1899 Hoffenheim3 - 2Bundesliga
VfB StuttgartDLWWL
03 Nov 26AGalatasaray0 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26ABayer Leverkusen4 - 2Bundesliga
28 Oct 26ASC Paderborn 071 - 0DFB Pokal
23 Oct 26HBorussia Mönchengladbach2 - 3Bundesliga
20 Oct 26HAtletico Madrid1 - 1UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Hamburger SV 8 · Draws 2 · VfB Stuttgart 14 (24 meetings, last 10 below)

17 Oct 26Hamburger SV1 - 0VfB StuttgartBundesliga
12 Apr 26VfB Stuttgart4 - 0Hamburger SVBundesliga
30 Nov 25Hamburger SV2 - 1VfB StuttgartBundesliga
05 Jun 23Hamburger SV1 - 3VfB StuttgartBundesliga
01 Jun 23VfB Stuttgart3 - 0Hamburger SVBundesliga
26 Aug 20VfB Stuttgart3 - 2Hamburger SVFriendlies Clubs
28 May 20VfB Stuttgart3 - 2Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
29 Oct 19Hamburger SV1 - 2VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
26 Oct 19Hamburger SV6 - 2VfB Stuttgart2. Bundesliga
31 Mar 18VfB Stuttgart1 - 1Hamburger SVBundesliga

Full head to head: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart →

Our prediction

VfB Stuttgart to win

@ 1.75
Double chance
12  •  Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.40
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Hamburger SVlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on VfB Stuttgartlast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
20/3656%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 71%Under 2.5: 29%
Expected goals
1.41Hamburger SV
3.70Total
2.29VfB Stuttgart

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 8.50
1 – 2 VfB Stuttgart win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 11.00
1 – 3 VfB Stuttgart win 6% @ 11.00
2 – 1 Hamburger SV win 5% @ 12.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Hamburger SV21%
Draw10%
VfB Stuttgart69%

Odds (1X2)

13.75
X4.20
21.75

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart preview and result

Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart met in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Hamburger SV a 21% chance of winning, the draw 10% and VfB Stuttgart 69%. Our pick was VfB Stuttgart to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.75. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.7 goals (1.4 for Hamburger SV, 2.3 for VfB Stuttgart). The chance of three or more goals is 71%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Hamburger SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 8. In their last 10 meetings, Hamburger SV won 8, VfB Stuttgart won 14 and 2 ended level. In the table, Hamburger SV are 11th with 12 points and VfB Stuttgart are 8th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our pre-match prediction is VfB Stuttgart to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.75. Win chances: Hamburger SV 21%, draw 10%, VfB Stuttgart 69%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 71%).

What time is Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) was played on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

The double chance 12 (Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

Hamburger SV11th12 pts
VfB Stuttgart8th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134