Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 20 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
4 - 0
Full time · HT 3 - 0
Casa PiaWLWWL
Kick-offFri 20 Mar, 21:15
Our tip1 @ 2.45 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga
Casa PiaWLWWL
30 Oct 26HSporting CP0 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AEstrela2 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AAlpendorada1 - 0Taça de Portugal
10 Oct 26HSanta Clara0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AEstoril2 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Estrela vs Casa Pia →

Our prediction

Estrela to win

@ 2.45
Double chance
12  •  Estrela or Casa Pia
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Estrelalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Casa Pialast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.41Estrela
2.82Total
1.41Casa Pia

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Estrela win 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Casa Pia win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Estrela win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Estrela win 3% @ 21.00 Our pick

Final score: 4 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Estrela41%
Draw18%
Casa Pia41%

Odds (1X2)

12.45
X3.25
22.82

Estrela vs Casa Pia preview and result

Estrela and Casa Pia met in the Primeira Liga on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 0, 3 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Estrela a 41% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Casa Pia 41%. Our pick was Estrela to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.45. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Estrela or Casa Pia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.4 for Estrela, 1.4 for Casa Pia). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Casa Pia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4. In the table, Estrela are 12th with 10 points and Casa Pia are 15th with 8 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Our pre-match prediction is Estrela to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.45. Win chances: Estrela 41%, draw 18%, Casa Pia 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estrela vs Casa Pia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Estrela vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) was played on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Estrela vs Casa Pia?

The double chance 12 (Estrela or Casa Pia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Estrela12th10 pts
Casa Pia15th8 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142