Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 21 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
MoreirenseDLLWW
16:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 21 Mar
AroucaDWWWW
Kick-offSat 21 Mar, 16:30
Our tip1 @ 2.45
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MoreirenseDLLWW
31 Oct 26HEstrela2 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26AEstoril3 - 1Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AAVS0 - 1Taça de Portugal
09 Oct 26HGIL Vicente0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AVitória SC1 - 1Primeira Liga
AroucaDWWWW
01 Nov 26HNacional1 - 0Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ACF Os Belenenses4 - 3Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HEstrela1 - 0Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26ASporting CP2 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Moreirense vs Arouca →

Our prediction

Moreirense to win

@ 2.45
Double chance
12  •  Moreirense or Arouca
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Moreirenselast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Aroucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.09Moreirense
3.02Total
1.93Arouca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Moreirense win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 1 Arouca win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Moreirense win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Moreirense48%
Draw18%
Arouca34%

Odds (1X2)

12.45
X3.25
22.82

Moreirense vs Arouca preview

Moreirense host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Moreirense a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Arouca 34%. That makes our pick Moreirense to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.45. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Moreirense or Arouca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.1 for Moreirense, 1.9 for Arouca). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. In the table, Moreirense are 9th with 14 points and Arouca are 5th with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Moreirense vs Arouca?

Our prediction is Moreirense to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.45. Win chances: Moreirense 48%, draw 18%, Arouca 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Moreirense vs Arouca?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Moreirense vs Arouca?

Moreirense vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Moreirense vs Arouca?

The double chance 12 (Moreirense or Arouca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Moreirense9th14 pts
Arouca5th20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142