Famalicao vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 21 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
FamalicaoLLWDL
16:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 21 Mar
NacionalLLLWL
Kick-offSat 21 Mar, 16:30
Our tip1 @ 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FamalicaoLLWDL
01 Nov 26ASC Braga0 - 3Primeira Liga
29 Oct 26ASC Braga2 - 2Taça da Liga
25 Oct 26ARio Ave4 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AParedes0 - 1Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26HAlverca1 - 4Primeira Liga
NacionalLLLWL
01 Nov 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HSC Braga1 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ASanjoanense0 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ARio Ave2 - 3Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga

Head to head

Famalicao 5 · Draws 1 · Nacional 3 (9 meetings)

19 Sep 26Nacional0 - 4FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
21 Mar 26Famalicao1 - 0NacionalPrimeira Liga
01 Nov 25Nacional0 - 1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
01 Mar 25Nacional2 - 1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
29 Sep 24Famalicao0 - 0NacionalPrimeira Liga
16 May 21Famalicao3 - 0NacionalPrimeira Liga
30 Jan 21Nacional2 - 1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
04 Feb 18Famalicao3 - 2NacionalSegunda Liga
23 Aug 17Nacional3 - 0FamalicaoSegunda Liga

Full head to head: Famalicao vs Nacional →

Our prediction

Famalicao to win

@ 1.70
Double chance
1X  •  Famalicao or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.00
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Famalicaolast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Nacionallast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 41%Under 2.5: 59%
Expected goals
1.65Famalicao
2.33Total
0.68Nacional

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Famalicao win 10% @ 6.25 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Famalicao win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Famalicao win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Famalicao74%
Draw21%
Nacional5%

Odds (1X2)

11.70
X3.70
24.75

Famalicao vs Nacional preview

Famalicao host Nacional in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Famalicao a 74% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional 5%. That makes our pick Famalicao to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.70. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Famalicao or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.7 for Famalicao, 0.7 for Nacional). The chance of three or more goals is 41%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Famalicao have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. In their last 9 meetings, Famalicao won 5, Nacional won 3 and 1 ended level. In the table, Famalicao are 10th with 13 points and Nacional are 13th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Famalicao vs Nacional?

Our prediction is Famalicao to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.70. Win chances: Famalicao 74%, draw 21%, Nacional 5%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Famalicao vs Nacional?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 41%).

What time is Famalicao vs Nacional?

Famalicao vs Nacional (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Famalicao vs Nacional?

The double chance 1X (Famalicao or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Famalicao10th13 pts
Nacional13th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142