Portugal : Primeira Liga
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FC PortoLLWWW
AroucaDWWWWHead to head
FC Porto 17 · Draws 1 · Arouca 2 (20 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
FC Porto to win
@ 1.16Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
FC Porto vs Arouca preview and result
FC Porto and Arouca met in the Primeira Liga on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives FC Porto a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arouca 18%. Our pick was FC Porto to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.16. The pick came in ✓.
Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.1 for FC Porto, 1.8 for Arouca). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, FC Porto won 17, Arouca won 2 and 1 ended level. In the table, FC Porto are 1st with 33 points and Arouca are 5th with 20 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for FC Porto vs Arouca?
Our pre-match prediction is FC Porto to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.16. Win chances: FC Porto 62%, draw 20%, Arouca 18%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).
What time is FC Porto vs Arouca?
FC Porto vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) was played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
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FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Arouca
Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Moreirense
Famalicao
Alverca
Estrela
Nacional
Vitória SC
Maritimo
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Estoril
AVSvs
Tondelavs