FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 27 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
FC PortoLLWWW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
AroucaDWWWW
Kick-offFri 27 Feb, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 1.16 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FC PortoLLWWW
31 Oct 26HEstoril4 - 0Primeira Liga
28 Oct 26HAcademico Viseu1 - 0Taça da Liga
24 Oct 26AGIL Vicente1 - 0Primeira Liga
20 Oct 26HPSV Eindhoven0 - 1UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 26AReal Betis2 - 3UEFA Champions League
AroucaDWWWW
01 Nov 26HNacional1 - 0Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ACF Os Belenenses4 - 3Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HEstrela1 - 0Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26ASporting CP2 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

FC Porto 17 · Draws 1 · Arouca 2 (20 meetings, last 10 below)

23 Aug 26FC Porto2 - 0AroucaPrimeira Liga
27 Feb 26FC Porto3 - 1AroucaPrimeira Liga
29 Sep 25Arouca0 - 4FC PortoPrimeira Liga
01 Mar 25Arouca0 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
29 Sep 24FC Porto4 - 0AroucaPrimeira Liga
12 Feb 24Arouca3 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
03 Sep 23FC Porto1 - 1AroucaPrimeira Liga
08 May 23Arouca0 - 1FC PortoPrimeira Liga
11 Jan 23FC Porto4 - 0AroucaTaça de Portugal
28 Dec 22FC Porto5 - 1AroucaPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: FC Porto vs Arouca →

Our prediction

FC Porto to win

@ 1.16
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.48
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on FC Portolast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.05FC Porto
2.85Total
1.80Arouca

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 FC Porto win 14% @ 4.50
3 – 0 FC Porto win 12% @ 5.25 Our pick
1 – 0 FC Porto win 11% @ 5.50
4 – 0 FC Porto win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 FC Porto win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FC Porto62%
Draw20%
Arouca18%

Odds (1X2)

11.16
X6.40
219.50

FC Porto vs Arouca preview and result

FC Porto and Arouca met in the Primeira Liga on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives FC Porto a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arouca 18%. Our pick was FC Porto to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.16. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.1 for FC Porto, 1.8 for Arouca). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, FC Porto won 17, Arouca won 2 and 1 ended level. In the table, FC Porto are 1st with 33 points and Arouca are 5th with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for FC Porto vs Arouca?

Our pre-match prediction is FC Porto to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.16. Win chances: FC Porto 62%, draw 20%, Arouca 18%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Arouca?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is FC Porto vs Arouca?

FC Porto vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) was played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

FC Porto1st33 pts
Arouca5th20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142