Portugal : Primeira Liga
Recent form
GuimaraesWLWWD
AlvercaWWLLLHead to head
Guimaraes 0 · Draws 1 · Alverca 1 (2 meetings)
Our prediction
Guimaraes to win
@ 1.76Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Guimaraes vs Alverca preview
Guimaraes host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Guimaraes a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Alverca 17%. That makes our pick Guimaraes to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.76. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Guimaraes or Alverca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.
Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.8 for Guimaraes, 0.8 for Alverca). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).
Form and head to head
Guimaraes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-D), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In their last 2 meetings, Guimaraes won 0, Alverca won 1 and 1 ended level.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Guimaraes vs Alverca?
Our prediction is Guimaraes to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.76. Win chances: Guimaraes 67%, draw 16%, Alverca 17%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guimaraes vs Alverca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).
What time is Guimaraes vs Alverca?
Guimaraes vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Guimaraes vs Alverca?
The double chance 12 (Guimaraes or Alverca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
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FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Arouca
Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Moreirense
Famalicao
Alverca
Estrela
Nacional
Vitória SC
Maritimo
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Estoril
AVSvs
Tondelavs