Guimaraes vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 28 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
GuimaraesWLWWD
21:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 28 Feb
AlvercaWWLLL
Kick-offSat 28 Feb, 21:30
Our tip1 @ 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GuimaraesWLWWD
02 Nov 26AGIL Vicente0 - 0Primeira Liga
23 Oct 26HMaritimo5 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ARecreativa de Lamelas1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ABenfica0 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Sep 26AChaves1 - 0Friendlies Clubs
AlvercaWWLLL
02 Nov 26ABenfica0 - 1Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ATondela0 - 2Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26AFamalicao4 - 1Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HRio Ave1 - 0Primeira Liga

Head to head

Guimaraes 0 · Draws 1 · Alverca 1 (2 meetings)

28 Feb 26Vitória SC1 - 1AlvercaPrimeira Liga
28 Sep 25Alverca2 - 0Vitória SCPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: Guimaraes vs Alverca →

Our prediction

Guimaraes to win

@ 1.76
Double chance
12  •  Guimaraes or Alverca
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.77
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Guimaraeslast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.83Guimaraes
2.65Total
0.82Alverca

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Guimaraes win 12% @ 5.25
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
2 – 0 Guimaraes win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Guimaraes win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Guimaraes win 5% @ 12.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Guimaraes67%
Draw16%
Alverca17%

Odds (1X2)

11.76
X3.45
24.70

Guimaraes vs Alverca preview

Guimaraes host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Guimaraes a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Alverca 17%. That makes our pick Guimaraes to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.76. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Guimaraes or Alverca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.8 for Guimaraes, 0.8 for Alverca). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Guimaraes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-D), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In their last 2 meetings, Guimaraes won 0, Alverca won 1 and 1 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guimaraes vs Alverca?

Our prediction is Guimaraes to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.76. Win chances: Guimaraes 67%, draw 16%, Alverca 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guimaraes vs Alverca?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Guimaraes vs Alverca?

Guimaraes vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Guimaraes vs Alverca?

The double chance 12 (Guimaraes or Alverca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Guimaraes–
Alverca11th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142