Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 1 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Casa PiaWLWWL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
MoreirenseDLLWW
Kick-offSun 1 Mar, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 2.75 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Casa PiaWLWWL
30 Oct 26HSporting CP0 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AEstrela2 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AAlpendorada1 - 0Taça de Portugal
10 Oct 26HSanta Clara0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AEstoril2 - 1Primeira Liga
MoreirenseDLLWW
31 Oct 26HEstrela2 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26AEstoril3 - 1Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AAVS0 - 1Taça de Portugal
09 Oct 26HGIL Vicente0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AVitória SC1 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Casa Pia 3 · Draws 1 · Moreirense 4 (8 meetings)

30 Aug 26Casa Pia0 - 1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
01 Mar 26Casa Pia1 - 1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
27 Sep 25Moreirense2 - 1Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
15 Feb 25Moreirense3 - 2Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
14 Sep 24Casa Pia3 - 1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
12 May 24Casa Pia0 - 1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
08 Jan 24Moreirense1 - 4Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
19 Jul 23Casa Pia1 - 0MoreirenseFriendlies Clubs

Full head to head: Casa Pia vs Moreirense →

Our prediction

Casa Pia to win

@ 2.75
Double chance
12  •  Casa Pia or Moreirense
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Casa Pialast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Moreirenselast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.90Casa Pia
2.83Total
0.93Moreirense

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Casa Pia win 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Moreirense win 11% @ 6.00
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Casa Pia win 8% @ 8.50
3 – 0 Casa Pia win 2% @ 26.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Casa Pia41%
Draw19%
Moreirense40%

Odds (1X2)

12.75
X2.90
22.75

Casa Pia vs Moreirense preview and result

Casa Pia and Moreirense met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Casa Pia a 41% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moreirense 40%. Our pick was Casa Pia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.75. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Casa Pia or Moreirense) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.9 for Casa Pia, 0.9 for Moreirense). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In their last 8 meetings, Casa Pia won 3, Moreirense won 4 and 1 ended level. In the table, Casa Pia are 16th with 8 points and Moreirense are 9th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

Our pre-match prediction is Casa Pia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.75. Win chances: Casa Pia 41%, draw 19%, Moreirense 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

Casa Pia vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

The double chance 12 (Casa Pia or Moreirense) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Casa Pia16th8 pts
Moreirense9th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142