Fluminense vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie A · Sat 21 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
FluminenseLWLWW
22:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 21 Mar
Atletico-MGLLLLD
Kick-offSat 21 Mar, 22:30
Our tip1 @ 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FluminenseLWLWW
06 Nov 26AVitoria3 - 0Serie A
28 Oct 26HInternacional2 - 1Serie A
24 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc1 - 2Serie A
22 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26HSantos1 - 2Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLD
07 Nov 26HGremio1 - 1Copa Do Brasil
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG →

Our prediction

Fluminense to win

@ 1.76
Double chance
1X  •  Fluminense or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Fluminenselast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
26/4360%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.67Fluminense
2.79Total
1.12Atletico-MG

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Fluminense win 12% @ 5.50
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
2 – 1 Fluminense win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Fluminense win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50
3 – 0 Fluminense win 5% @ 12.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Fluminense64%
Draw22%
Atletico-MG14%

Odds (1X2)

11.76
X3.45
24.70

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG preview

Fluminense host Atletico-MG in the Serie A (Brazil) on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Fluminense a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico-MG 14%. That makes our pick Fluminense to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.76. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Fluminense or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.7 for Fluminense, 1.1 for Atletico-MG). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-D), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Fluminense are 4th with 57 points and Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?

Our prediction is Fluminense to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.76. Win chances: Fluminense 64%, draw 22%, Atletico-MG 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?

The double chance 1X (Fluminense or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Fluminense4th57 pts
Atletico-MG7th50 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521