Portugal : Primeira Liga
Recent form
AroucaDWWWW
BenficaWWWWWHead to head
Arouca 1 · Draws 2 · Benfica 17 (20 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Benfica to win
@ 1.25Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Arouca vs Benfica preview
Arouca host Benfica in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Arouca a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Benfica 61%. That makes our pick Benfica to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.25. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Arouca or Benfica) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.
Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.4 for Arouca, 1.7 for Benfica). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).
Form and head to head
Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Benfica have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 14 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Arouca won 1, Benfica won 17 and 2 ended level. In the table, Arouca are 5th with 20 points and Benfica are 2nd with 28 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arouca vs Benfica?
Our prediction is Benfica to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.25. Win chances: Arouca 20%, draw 19%, Benfica 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arouca vs Benfica?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).
What time is Arouca vs Benfica?
Arouca vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Arouca vs Benfica?
The double chance 12 (Arouca or Benfica) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
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