Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 15 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Rio AveLWWLL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
EstrelaLLWLL
Kick-offSun 15 Mar, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 2.25 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Rio AveLWWLL
01 Nov 26AAcademico Viseu1 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ALouletano1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HNacional3 - 2Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26AAlverca0 - 1Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Rio Ave vs Estrela →

Our prediction

Rio Ave to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  Rio Ave or Estrela
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
0.92Rio Ave
2.78Total
1.86Estrela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Rio Ave win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Rio Ave win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.50
0 – 1 Estrela win 8% @ 8.50

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Rio Ave42%
Draw18%
Estrela40%

Odds (1X2)

12.25
X3.20
23.00

Rio Ave vs Estrela preview and result

Rio Ave and Estrela met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Rio Ave a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Estrela 40%. Our pick was Rio Ave to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (0.9 for Rio Ave, 1.9 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Rio Ave have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Rio Ave are 17th with 7 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Our pre-match prediction is Rio Ave to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Rio Ave 42%, draw 18%, Estrela 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Rio Ave vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

The double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Rio Ave17th7 pts
Estrela12th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142