Nacional vs Estoril Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 15 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
NacionalLLLWL
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
EstorilLLDLL
Kick-offSun 15 Mar, 16:30
Our tip2 @ 2.75 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
NacionalLLLWL
01 Nov 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HSC Braga1 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ASanjoanense0 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ARio Ave2 - 3Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
EstorilLLDLL
31 Oct 26AFC Porto0 - 4Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HMoreirense1 - 3Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ASalgueiros1 - 1Taça de Portugal
10 Oct 26AAcademico Viseu1 - 2Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HCasa Pia1 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Nacional 6 · Draws 4 · Estoril 7 (17 meetings, last 10 below)

16 Aug 26Nacional2 - 0EstorilPrimeira Liga
15 Mar 26Nacional0 - 1EstorilPrimeira Liga
26 Oct 25Estoril1 - 1NacionalPrimeira Liga
15 Feb 25Nacional2 - 2EstorilPrimeira Liga
15 Sep 24Estoril1 - 0NacionalPrimeira Liga
25 Jul 21Nacional1 - 2EstorilTaça da Liga
14 Dec 19Estoril1 - 2NacionalSegunda Liga
09 Apr 17Estoril0 - 1NacionalPrimeira Liga
26 Nov 16Nacional0 - 1EstorilPrimeira Liga
10 Apr 16Nacional4 - 1EstorilPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: Nacional vs Estoril →

Our prediction

Estoril to win

@ 2.75
Double chance
12  •  Nacional or Estoril
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Nacionallast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Estorillast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
20/3165%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 59%Under 2.5: 41%
Expected goals
0.89Nacional
3.08Total
2.19Estoril

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 2 Estoril win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
2 – 1 Nacional win 7% @ 9.50
1 – 0 Nacional win 7% @ 10.00
0 – 1 Estoril win 7% @ 10.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Nacional35%
Draw18%
Estoril47%

Odds (1X2)

12.40
X3.30
22.75

Nacional vs Estoril preview and result

Nacional and Estoril met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Nacional a 35% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Estoril 47%. Our pick was Estoril to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.75. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional or Estoril) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (0.9 for Nacional, 2.2 for Estoril). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Estoril have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 12. In their last 10 meetings, Nacional won 6, Estoril won 7 and 4 ended level. In the table, Nacional are 13th with 10 points and Estoril are 18th with 2 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Nacional vs Estoril?

Our pre-match prediction is Estoril to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.75. Win chances: Nacional 35%, draw 18%, Estoril 47%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Estoril?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is Nacional vs Estoril?

Nacional vs Estoril (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Nacional vs Estoril?

The double chance 12 (Nacional or Estoril) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Nacional13th10 pts
Estoril18th2 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142