FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 15 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
FC PortoLLWWW
2 - 0
Half time
MoreirenseDLLWW
Kick-offSun 15 Mar, 21:30
Our tip1 @ 1.17
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FC PortoLLWWW
31 Oct 26HEstoril4 - 0Primeira Liga
28 Oct 26HAcademico Viseu1 - 0Taça da Liga
24 Oct 26AGIL Vicente1 - 0Primeira Liga
20 Oct 26HPSV Eindhoven0 - 1UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 26AReal Betis2 - 3UEFA Champions League
MoreirenseDLLWW
31 Oct 26HEstrela2 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26AEstoril3 - 1Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AAVS0 - 1Taça de Portugal
09 Oct 26HGIL Vicente0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AVitória SC1 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

FC Porto 23 · Draws 4 · Moreirense 2 (29 meetings, last 10 below)

04 Sep 26FC Porto2 - 1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
15 Mar 26FC Porto3 - 0MoreirensePrimeira Liga
27 Oct 25Moreirense1 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
02 May 25FC Porto3 - 1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
21 Dec 24Moreirense0 - 3FC PortoPrimeira Liga
24 Nov 24Moreirense2 - 1FC PortoTaça de Portugal
31 Oct 24FC Porto2 - 0MoreirenseTaça da Liga
20 Jan 24FC Porto5 - 0MoreirensePrimeira Liga
14 Aug 23Moreirense1 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
20 Feb 22Moreirense0 - 1FC PortoPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: FC Porto vs Moreirense →

Our prediction

FC Porto to win

@ 1.17
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.40
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on FC Portolast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips on Moreirenselast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
20/3165%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.55FC Porto
2.50Total
0.95Moreirense

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 FC Porto win 13% @ 5.00
1 – 0 FC Porto win 12% @ 5.80
3 – 0 FC Porto win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
2 – 1 FC Porto win 8% @ 8.50
4 – 0 FC Porto win 7% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FC Porto65%
Draw21%
Moreirense14%

Odds (1X2)

11.17
X6.50
217.00

FC Porto vs Moreirense preview

FC Porto v Moreirense in the Primeira Liga is under way – the score is 2 - 0 (Half time).

Our model gives FC Porto a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreirense 14%. That makes our pick FC Porto to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.6 for FC Porto, 1.0 for Moreirense). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, FC Porto won 23, Moreirense won 2 and 4 ended level. In the table, FC Porto are 1st with 33 points and Moreirense are 9th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Porto vs Moreirense?

Our prediction is FC Porto to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.17. Win chances: FC Porto 65%, draw 21%, Moreirense 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Moreirense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is FC Porto vs Moreirense?

FC Porto vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 21:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

FC Porto1st33 pts
Moreirense9th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142