Rio Ave vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 16 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Rio AveLWWLL
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
MoreirenseDLLWW
Kick-offMon 16 Feb, 21:15
Our tip2 @ 2.35 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Rio AveLWWLL
01 Nov 26AAcademico Viseu1 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ALouletano1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HNacional3 - 2Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26AAlverca0 - 1Primeira Liga
MoreirenseDLLWW
31 Oct 26HEstrela2 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26AEstoril3 - 1Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AAVS0 - 1Taça de Portugal
09 Oct 26HGIL Vicente0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AVitória SC1 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Rio Ave vs Moreirense →

Our prediction

Moreirense to win

@ 2.35
Double chance
12  •  Rio Ave or Moreirense
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Moreirenselast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
20/3165%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.22Rio Ave
2.83Total
1.61Moreirense

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 1 Moreirense win 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Rio Ave win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Moreirense win 9% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 3 Moreirense win 3% @ 19.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 2 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Rio Ave33%
Draw19%
Moreirense48%

Odds (1X2)

13.15
X3.05
22.35

Rio Ave vs Moreirense preview and result

Rio Ave and Moreirense met in the Primeira Liga on Monday 16 February 2026 at 21:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Rio Ave a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moreirense 48%. Our pick was Moreirense to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.35. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Moreirense) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.2 for Rio Ave, 1.6 for Moreirense). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Rio Ave have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the table, Rio Ave are 17th with 7 points and Moreirense are 9th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Rio Ave vs Moreirense?

Our pre-match prediction is Moreirense to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.35. Win chances: Rio Ave 33%, draw 19%, Moreirense 48%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rio Ave vs Moreirense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Rio Ave vs Moreirense?

Rio Ave vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) was played on Monday 16 February 2026 at 21:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Rio Ave vs Moreirense?

The double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Moreirense) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Rio Ave17th7 pts
Moreirense9th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142