Portugal : Primeira Liga
Recent form
Casa PiaWLWWL
AroucaDWWWWHead to head
Our prediction
Casa Pia to win
@ 2.92Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Casa Pia vs Arouca preview
Casa Pia host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Casa Pia a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arouca 37%. That makes our pick Casa Pia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.92. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Casa Pia or Arouca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.
Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (1.3 for Casa Pia, 1.9 for Arouca). The chance of three or more goals is 61%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).
Form and head to head
Casa Pia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. In the table, Casa Pia are 16th with 8 points and Arouca are 5th with 20 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Casa Pia vs Arouca?
Our prediction is Casa Pia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.92. Win chances: Casa Pia 44%, draw 19%, Arouca 37%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Casa Pia vs Arouca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 61%).
What time is Casa Pia vs Arouca?
Casa Pia vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Casa Pia vs Arouca?
The double chance 12 (Casa Pia or Arouca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
Tondelavs
AVSvsOther matches on Sat 14 Feb
Al Hilal Omdurmanvs
Saint Eloi LupopoTip 114:00
Mamelodi Sundownsvs
MC AlgerTip 114:00
Espanyolvs
Celta VigoTip 201:00
FC Santiagovs
Deportivo Zap3 - 101:00
Atletico DE Rafaelavs
Almagro0 - 001:00
Joinvillevs
Carlos Renaux3 - 001:00
Atlético Mineiro Wvs
Corinthians W0 - 101:00
Palmeiras Wvs
America Mineiro W4 - 001:30
Godoy Cruzvs
Ciudad de Bolívar1 - 101:30
Liverpool Montevideovs
Defensor Sporting1 - 2