Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 14 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
GuimaraesWLWWD
19:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 14 Feb
EstrelaLLWLL
Kick-offSat 14 Feb, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 1.68
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GuimaraesWLWWD
02 Nov 26AGIL Vicente0 - 0Primeira Liga
23 Oct 26HMaritimo5 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ARecreativa de Lamelas1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ABenfica0 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Sep 26AChaves1 - 0Friendlies Clubs
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Guimaraes vs Estrela →

Our prediction

Guimaraes to win

@ 1.68
Double chance
1X  •  Guimaraes or Draw
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.70
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Estrelalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
20/3165%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.59Guimaraes
2.74Total
1.15Estrela

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Guimaraes win 13% @ 5.00
2 – 0 Guimaraes win 11% @ 6.00
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
2 – 1 Guimaraes win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Guimaraes win 6% @ 10.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Guimaraes74%
Draw20%
Estrela6%

Odds (1X2)

11.68
X3.50
25.20

Guimaraes vs Estrela preview

Guimaraes host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Guimaraes a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Estrela 6%. That makes our pick Guimaraes to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.68. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Guimaraes or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.6 for Guimaraes, 1.2 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Guimaraes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-D), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guimaraes vs Estrela?

Our prediction is Guimaraes to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.68. Win chances: Guimaraes 74%, draw 20%, Estrela 6%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guimaraes vs Estrela?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Guimaraes vs Estrela?

Guimaraes vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Guimaraes vs Estrela?

The double chance 1X (Guimaraes or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Guimaraes–
Estrela12th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142