Tondela vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 13 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
TondelaWDLWD
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
AlvercaWWLLL
Kick-offFri 13 Feb, 21:45
Our tip2 @ 2.96 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
TondelaWDLWD
08 Nov 26ASporting CP B1 - 1Segunda Liga
01 Nov 26HFelgueiras 19323 - 2Segunda Liga
25 Oct 26AAVS1 - 2Segunda Liga
18 Oct 26HAlverca0 - 0Taça De Portugal
10 Oct 26HTorreense1 - 0Segunda Liga
AlvercaWWLLL
02 Nov 26ABenfica0 - 1Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ATondela0 - 2Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26AFamalicao4 - 1Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HRio Ave1 - 0Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Tondela vs Alverca →

Our prediction

Alverca to win

@ 2.96
Double chance
12  •  Tondela or Alverca
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Tondelalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
20/3165%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
0.73Tondela
2.52Total
1.79Alverca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Tondela win 11% @ 5.75
0 – 1 Alverca win 10% @ 6.25
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Tondela win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 3 Alverca win 2% @ 29.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Tondela32%
Draw19%
Alverca49%

Odds (1X2)

12.52
X3.00
22.96

Tondela vs Alverca preview and result

Tondela and Alverca met in the Primeira Liga on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Tondela a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alverca 49%. Our pick was Alverca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.96. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Tondela or Alverca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (0.7 for Tondela, 1.8 for Alverca). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Tondela have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-L-W-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Tondela vs Alverca?

Our pre-match prediction is Alverca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.96. Win chances: Tondela 32%, draw 19%, Alverca 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tondela vs Alverca?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Tondela vs Alverca?

Tondela vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) was played on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Tondela vs Alverca?

The double chance 12 (Tondela or Alverca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Tondela–
Alverca11th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142